Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.592275e-03 0.001771 0.001951 0.002145 0.002348 0.002554 0.002778
2025-01-19 1.278641e-03 0.001532 0.001796 0.002090 0.002406 0.002733 0.003096
2025-01-26 1.058800e-03 0.001367 0.001700 0.002079 0.002496 0.002936 0.003434
2025-02-02 8.765000e-04 0.001225 0.001613 0.002067 0.002576 0.003123 0.003750
2025-02-09 7.867348e-04 0.001177 0.001624 0.002158 0.002767 0.003429 0.004194
2025-02-16 6.651804e-04 0.001080 0.001570 0.002168 0.002861 0.003624 0.004515
2025-02-23 5.194176e-04 0.000937 0.001451 0.002094 0.002853 0.003700 0.004700
2025-03-02 4.009972e-04 0.000815 0.001346 0.002029 0.002850 0.003777 0.004882
2025-03-09 3.063795e-04 0.000713 0.001258 0.001977 0.002855 0.003859 0.005066
2025-03-16 2.373297e-04 0.000636 0.001196 0.001952 0.002890 0.003972 0.005282
2025-03-23 2.095729e-04 0.000619 0.001211 0.002022 0.003036 0.004214 0.005646
2025-03-30 1.723775e-04 0.000581 0.001193 0.002048 0.003128 0.004391 0.005934
2025-04-06 1.293089e-04 0.000536 0.001180 0.002101 0.003280 0.004672 0.006382
2025-04-13 7.150916e-05 0.000443 0.001091 0.002051 0.003306 0.004806 0.006664
2025-04-20 3.642040e-05 0.000378 0.001035 0.002043 0.003384 0.005002 0.007022
2025-04-27 1.324293e-05 0.000319 0.000981 0.002033 0.003457 0.005193 0.007375
2025-05-04 6.101769e-06 0.000305 0.000999 0.002125 0.003662 0.005546 0.007920
2025-05-11 1.764035e-07 0.000262 0.000963 0.002135 0.003760 0.005766 0.008309
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000197 0.000874 0.002063 0.003744 0.005845 0.008526
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000145 0.000796 0.001999 0.003737 0.005931 0.008750
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000104 0.000728 0.001947 0.003741 0.006029 0.008986
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000076 0.000682 0.001923 0.003781 0.006170 0.009274
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000069 0.000692 0.001992 0.003951 0.006475 0.009761